Home team in caps.
COLORADO ST -5.5 Air Force 52
Sonny Lubick is starting to kick start his Rams team again. CSU is off of two terrific games where they beat FSU 34-10 at home and last week, on the road, destroyed BYU 58-13. Lubick's teams are now 37-14-0 since 1993 when getting less than seven points or a favorite, from game number seven on. His teams just get better as the season goes on. This week they qualify in a terrific home momentum situation that is 123-49-3 (including 5-0 this year) based on their dominating win last week. Before I mention any stats, realize CSU has played a considerably tougher schedule than AF this year. CSU has a much better offense, gaining 6.6 yppl against 5.6 yppl while the AF offense is actually below average, gaining just 5.3 yppl against 5.5 yppl. On defense, AF would appear to have a better defense, allowing 5.0 yppl against 5.1 yppl, while CSU is allowing 5.6 yppl against 5.3 yppl. But remember, CSU has played a much tougher schedule. The weakness to the CSU defense, is their pass defense, which is allowing 7.6 yps against 6.9 yps but AF doesn't figure to take advantage of that too much, averaging 7.4 yps against 7.6 yps. Also, AF is only throwing the ball 20% of the time so I doubt you'll see them throw it too much tonight. AF has played on the road three times this year. They managed to come from behind, as seven point favorites at Northwestern, and won by one. They went to Navy as 15 point favorites and lost the game SU. They also beat BYU by 14 but were given the ball deep in BYU territory late in the game to make the final numbers look worse than they were. Even with the 14 point win, CSU played a much better game at BYU than AF did. My numbers make this game about a six point game but the situation favoring CSU is too strong to ignore and that situation is winning big time again this year. COLORADO STATE 30 AIR FORCE 17
YTD 17-21-1 -15.00%
2% COLORADO ST -5.5
COLORADO ST -5.5 Air Force 52
Sonny Lubick is starting to kick start his Rams team again. CSU is off of two terrific games where they beat FSU 34-10 at home and last week, on the road, destroyed BYU 58-13. Lubick's teams are now 37-14-0 since 1993 when getting less than seven points or a favorite, from game number seven on. His teams just get better as the season goes on. This week they qualify in a terrific home momentum situation that is 123-49-3 (including 5-0 this year) based on their dominating win last week. Before I mention any stats, realize CSU has played a considerably tougher schedule than AF this year. CSU has a much better offense, gaining 6.6 yppl against 5.6 yppl while the AF offense is actually below average, gaining just 5.3 yppl against 5.5 yppl. On defense, AF would appear to have a better defense, allowing 5.0 yppl against 5.1 yppl, while CSU is allowing 5.6 yppl against 5.3 yppl. But remember, CSU has played a much tougher schedule. The weakness to the CSU defense, is their pass defense, which is allowing 7.6 yps against 6.9 yps but AF doesn't figure to take advantage of that too much, averaging 7.4 yps against 7.6 yps. Also, AF is only throwing the ball 20% of the time so I doubt you'll see them throw it too much tonight. AF has played on the road three times this year. They managed to come from behind, as seven point favorites at Northwestern, and won by one. They went to Navy as 15 point favorites and lost the game SU. They also beat BYU by 14 but were given the ball deep in BYU territory late in the game to make the final numbers look worse than they were. Even with the 14 point win, CSU played a much better game at BYU than AF did. My numbers make this game about a six point game but the situation favoring CSU is too strong to ignore and that situation is winning big time again this year. COLORADO STATE 30 AIR FORCE 17
YTD 17-21-1 -15.00%
2% COLORADO ST -5.5
